Rules of Gambling October 7, 2009

 

Rule #173 - Just because you don't like a certain player or a team, you shouldn't rule out betting against them.  Example:  We don't like Mega Douche, but his team is pretty good. 

 

Rule #204 - Never bet on the Raiders if Jamarcus Russell is starting.  Period.

 

Rule #85 - Be wary of double digit NFL and SEC spreads.  Leagues are way too competitive and dog covers more often than not.

 

Rule #301 - Backup QBs on bad teams have something to prove when they've been inserted as starter over benched bums.  See Derek Anderson over Brady Quinn.

 

Rule #3 - If a line seems too good to be true and Joe Public agrees, then it probably is too good to be true.  Remember, Vegas has to make money in this scheme and this is how.

 

Rule #10 - Along the same lines as Rule #3, try and isolate which game 90% of the public is betting on, then bet the opposite no matter what.  Sixty percent of the time, it works every time.

 

Rule #33 - No matter how much you love your team and want them to win, you shouldn't invest too much into a game.  It'll hurt twice as much if they lose.

 

Rule #45 - Home dogs under the lights = Money.

 

Rule #18 - If two teams are even, the spread on a neutral site should be a pick.  Home field advantage equals 3 points.  Use this as you wish.

 

Rule #226 - When in doubt, grab the points.  Especially if they're a home dog.

 

Rule #103 - Gambling is supposed to be fun, so don't go blowing your kids college fund on your "game of the year". 

 

Rule #104 - Stick to a system, whether it's straight bets with consistent amounts, i.e. 110 to win 100, and so forth or small bets on parlays (a personal favorite since parlays are on my top ten list of greatest things in the world, which includes the following in no particular order:  parlays, beer, lap dances, 80 degree weather, cheeseburgers, spring break, pizza, sunday ticket, DVR and drinking in general). 

 

Rule #9 - Favorites are expected to win, don't get cute because you have a hunch that the other team's QB is going to have a big game because his family is in the stands. 

 

Rule #288 - Totals are no fun but they are a part of gambling.  Unless you have no confidence in a specific matchup, e.g. Team A offense vs. Team B defense, the total is usually dead on.  Use your analysis of that matchup to determine under vs. over.

 

Rule #77 - In baseball, don't be afraid to lay chalk with big time pitchers.  All you need is a win, and a guy that wins 20 games will show you a profit.

 

Rule #47 - No excuses, play like a champion.


Rule #17 – Just because Team A beat Team B, and Team C beat Team A, does NOT mean Team C will beat Team B.


Rule#320 – Do not bet against the Peyton Manning led Colts unless the spread is ridiculous and the situation is perfect.  You will be pulling your hair out when he converts every critical 3rd down.